November 27, 2020

Download Ebook Free Estimation Of Rare Event Probabilities In Complex Aerospace And Other Systems

Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems

Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems
Author : Jerome Morio,Mathieu Balesdent
Publisher : Woodhead Publishing
Release Date : 2015-11-16
Category : Technology & Engineering
Total pages :216
GET BOOK

Rare event probability (10-4 and less) estimation has become a large area of research in the reliability engineering and system safety domains. A significant number of methods have been proposed to reduce the computation burden for the estimation of rare events from advanced sampling approaches to extreme value theory. However, it is often difficult in practice to determine which algorithm is the most adapted to a given problem. Estimation of Rare Event Probabilities in Complex Aerospace and Other Systems: A Practical Approach provides a broad up-to-date view of the current available techniques to estimate rare event probabilities described with a unified notation, a mathematical pseudocode to ease their potential implementation and finally a large spectrum of simulation results on academic and realistic use cases. Provides a broad overview of the practical approach of rare event methods. Includes algorithms that are applied to aerospace benchmark test cases Offers insight into practical tuning issues

Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty

Aerospace System Analysis and Optimization in Uncertainty
Author : Loïc Brevault
Publisher : Springer Nature
Release Date : 2020
Category :
Total pages :129
GET BOOK

Modeling and Optimization in Space Engineering

Modeling and Optimization in Space Engineering
Author : Giorgio Fasano,János D. Pintér
Publisher : Springer
Release Date : 2019-05-10
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :478
GET BOOK

This book presents advanced case studies that address a range of important issues arising in space engineering. An overview of challenging operational scenarios is presented, with an in-depth exposition of related mathematical modeling, algorithmic and numerical solution aspects. The model development and optimization approaches discussed in the book can be extended also towards other application areas. The topics discussed illustrate current research trends and challenges in space engineering as summarized by the following list: • Next Generation Gravity Missions • Continuous-Thrust Trajectories by Evolutionary Neurocontrol • Nonparametric Importance Sampling for Launcher Stage Fallout • Dynamic System Control Dispatch • Optimal Launch Date of Interplanetary Missions • Optimal Topological Design • Evidence-Based Robust Optimization • Interplanetary Trajectory Design by Machine Learning • Real-Time Optimal Control • Optimal Finite Thrust Orbital Transfers • Planning and Scheduling of Multiple Satellite Missions • Trajectory Performance Analysis • Ascent Trajectory and Guidance Optimization • Small Satellite Attitude Determination and Control • Optimized Packings in Space Engineering • Time-Optimal Transfers of All-Electric GEO Satellites Researchers working on space engineering applications will find this work a valuable, practical source of information. Academics, graduate and post-graduate students working in aerospace, engineering, applied mathematics, operations research, and optimal control will find useful information regarding model development and solution techniques, in conjunction with real-world applications.

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports

Scientific and Technical Aerospace Reports
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Release Date : 1981
Category : Aeronautics
Total pages :129
GET BOOK

Lists citations with abstracts for aerospace related reports obtained from world wide sources and announces documents that have recently been entered into the NASA Scientific and Technical Information Database.

Aviation System Risks and Safety

Aviation System Risks and Safety
Author : Kuklev E.A.,Shapkin V.S.,Filippov V.L.,Shatrakov Y.G.
Publisher : Springer
Release Date : 2019-09-19
Category : Technology & Engineering
Total pages :167
GET BOOK

This book provides a solution to “rare event” problems without using the classical theory of reliability and theory of probability. This solution is based on the methodology of risk assessment as “measure of danger” (in keeping with the ICS RAS) and an expert approach to determining systems’ safety indications using Fuzzy Sets methods. Further, the book puts forward a new concept: “Reliability, Risks, and Safety” (RRS). The book’s main goal is to generalize present results and underscore the need to develop an alternative approach to safety level assessment and risk management for technical (aviation) systems in terms of Fuzzy Sets objects, in addition to traditional probabilistic safety analysis (PSA). The concept it proposes incorporates ICAO recommendations regarding proactive system control and the system’s responses to various internal and external disturbances.

Introduction to Rare Event Simulation

Introduction to Rare Event Simulation
Author : James Bucklew
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2013-03-09
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :268
GET BOOK

This book presents a unified theory of rare event simulation and the variance reduction technique known as importance sampling from the point of view of the probabilistic theory of large deviations. It allows us to view a vast assortment of simulation problems from a unified single perspective.

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods

Rare Event Simulation using Monte Carlo Methods
Author : Gerardo Rubino,Bruno Tuffin
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2009-03-18
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :278
GET BOOK

In a probabilistic model, a rare event is an event with a very small probability of occurrence. The forecasting of rare events is a formidable task but is important in many areas. For instance a catastrophic failure in a transport system or in a nuclear power plant, the failure of an information processing system in a bank, or in the communication network of a group of banks, leading to financial losses. Being able to evaluate the probability of rare events is therefore a critical issue. Monte Carlo Methods, the simulation of corresponding models, are used to analyze rare events. This book sets out to present the mathematical tools available for the efficient simulation of rare events. Importance sampling and splitting are presented along with an exposition of how to apply these tools to a variety of fields ranging from performance and dependability evaluation of complex systems, typically in computer science or in telecommunications, to chemical reaction analysis in biology or particle transport in physics. Graduate students, researchers and practitioners who wish to learn and apply rare event simulation techniques will find this book beneficial.

Stochastic Hybrid Systems

Stochastic Hybrid Systems
Author : Christos G. Cassandras,John Lygeros
Publisher : CRC Press
Release Date : 2018-10-03
Category : Technology & Engineering
Total pages :300
GET BOOK

Because they incorporate both time- and event-driven dynamics, stochastic hybrid systems (SHS) have become ubiquitous in a variety of fields, from mathematical finance to biological processes to communication networks to engineering. Comprehensively integrating numerous cutting-edge studies, Stochastic Hybrid Systems presents a captivating treatment of some of the most ambitious types of dynamic systems. Cohesively edited by leading experts in the field, the book introduces the theoretical basics, computational methods, and applications of SHS. It first discusses the underlying principles behind SHS and the main design limitations of SHS. Building on these fundamentals, the authoritative contributors present methods for computer calculations that apply SHS analysis and synthesis techniques in practice. The book concludes with examples of systems encountered in a wide range of application areas, including molecular biology, communication networks, and air traffic management. It also explains how to resolve practical problems associated with these systems. Stochastic Hybrid Systems achieves an ideal balance between a theoretical treatment of SHS and practical considerations. The book skillfully explores the interaction of physical processes with computerized equipment in an uncertain environment, enabling a better understanding of sophisticated as well as everyday devices and processes.

Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction

Risk - A Multidisciplinary Introduction
Author : Claudia Klüppelberg,Daniel Straub,Isabell M. Welpe
Publisher : Springer
Release Date : 2014-06-10
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :476
GET BOOK

This is a unique book addressing the integration of risk methodology from various fields. It will stimulate intellectual debate and communication across disciplines, promote better risk management practices and contribute to the development of risk management methodologies. Individual chapters explain fundamental risk models and measurement, and address risk and security issues from diverse areas such as finance and insurance, the health sciences, life sciences, engineering and information science. Integrated Risk Sciences is an emerging discipline that considers risks in different fields, aiming at a common language, and at sharing and improving methods developed in different fields. Readers should have a Bachelor degree and have taken at least one basic university course in statistics and probability. The main goal of the book is to provide basic knowledge on risk and security in a common language; the authors have taken particular care to ensure that all content can readily be understood by doctoral students and researchers across disciplines. Each chapter provides simple case studies and examples, open research questions and discussion points, and a selected bibliography inviting readers to further study.

Fault Tree Handbook

Fault Tree Handbook
Author : W. E. Vesely,F. F. Goldberg,U.s. Nuclear Regulatory Commission
Publisher : CreateSpace
Release Date : 2014-06-12
Category : Science
Total pages :216
GET BOOK

Since 1975, a short course entitled "System Safety and Reliability Analysis" has been presented to over 200 NRC personnel and contractors.

Probabilistic Risk Analysis

Probabilistic Risk Analysis
Author : Lecturer in Mathematics Tim Bedford,Tim Bedford,Roger Cooke
Publisher : Cambridge University Press
Release Date : 2001-04-30
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :393
GET BOOK

Probabilistic risk analysis aims to quantify the risk caused by high technology installations. Increasingly, such analyses are being applied to a wider class of systems in which problems such as lack of data, complexity of the systems, uncertainty about consequences, make a classical statistical analysis difficult or impossible. The authors discuss the fundamental notion of uncertainty, its relationship with probability, and the limits to the quantification of uncertainty. Drawing on extensive experience in the theory and applications of risk analysis, the authors focus on the conceptual and mathematical foundations underlying the quantification, interpretation and management of risk. They cover standard topics as well as important new subjects such as the use of expert judgement and uncertainty propagation. The relationship of risk analysis with decision making is highlighted in chapters on influence diagrams and decision theory. Finally, the difficulties of choosing metrics to quantify risk, and current regulatory frameworks are discussed.

International Aerospace Abstracts

International Aerospace Abstracts
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Release Date : 1999
Category : Aeronautics
Total pages :129
GET BOOK

Single Event Effects in Aerospace

Single Event Effects in Aerospace
Author : Edward Petersen
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release Date : 2011-11-16
Category : Technology & Engineering
Total pages :520
GET BOOK

This book introduces the basic concepts necessary to understand Single Event phenomena which could cause random performance errors and catastrophic failures to electronics devices. As miniaturization of electronics components advances, electronics components are more susceptible in the radiation environment. The book includes a discussion of the radiation environments in space and in the atmosphere, radiation rate prediction depending on the orbit to allow electronics engineers to design and select radiation tolerant components and systems, and single event prediction.

Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems

Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems
Author : Javier Faulin,Angel A. Juan,Sebastián Salvador Martorell Alsina,Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Release Date : 2010-04-22
Category : Computers
Total pages :316
GET BOOK

Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems discusses the use of computer simulation-based techniques and algorithms to determine reliability and availability (R and A) levels in complex systems. The book: shares theoretical or applied models and decision support systems that make use of simulation to estimate and to improve system R and A levels, forecasts emerging technologies and trends in the use of computer simulation for R and A and proposes hybrid approaches to the development of efficient methodologies designed to solve R and A-related problems in real-life systems. Dealing with practical issues, Simulation Methods for Reliability and Availability of Complex Systems is designed to support managers and system engineers in the improvement of R and A, as well as providing a thorough exploration of the techniques and algorithms available for researchers, and for advanced undergraduate and postgraduate students.

Engineering Design Reliability Handbook

Engineering Design Reliability Handbook
Author : Efstratios Nikolaidis,Dan M. Ghiocel,Suren Singhal
Publisher : CRC Press
Release Date : 2004-12-22
Category : Mathematics
Total pages :1216
GET BOOK

Researchers in the engineering industry and academia are making important advances on reliability-based design and modeling of uncertainty when data is limited. Non deterministic approaches have enabled industries to save billions by reducing design and warranty costs and by improving quality. Considering the lack of comprehensive and defini